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Pre-election polls and exit polls gave him around

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發表於 2024-3-16 15:01:06 | 顯示全部樓層 |閱讀模式


Furthermore, Esquerra Republicana has caught the surprise, achieving the best result in its history with 15 representatives in the Congress of Deputies, a figure in which the polls have indeed hit the target. In any case, this year the surveys seem to have remained close to reality: PSOE : 123 PP: 66 Citizens: 57 United We Can: 42 Vox: 24 ERC: 15 TogetherxCat: 7 PNV: 6 Collect:  4 Navarra Total: 2 Canarian Coalition:  2 Commitment: 1 Regionalist Party of Cantabria: 1 The CIS underestimated Ciudadanos and gave wings to Vox But, as the facts have said, making predictions was perhaps one of the most arduous tasks for these elections.

So much so that all the polls showed the PSOE as the clear winner, far away from the Popular Party as the second political force. On April 9, the CIS survey placed the PSOE in the lead, with a range of between 123 and 138 seats . The formation led by Pedro Sánchez could double Pablo Casado's party in seats, which would SW Business Directory remain in second position with between 66 and 76 deputies followed by Ciudadanos, whose forecast ranged between 42 and 51 seats. To prepare the survey, the CIS has carried out a total of 18,460 personal interviews at home, 5 times more than the sample on which each month's barometers are based, approximately 3,000 surveys.



This was the forecast of the election result proposed by the CIS: PSOE: 123-138 PP: 66-76 Citizens: 42-51 United We Can: 33- 41 Vox: 29 -37 ERC: 17 -18 TogetherxCat: 4 -5 PNV: 6 Collect : 3 -5 Compromise: 1-2 The exit polls also gave a better result to the PP and Vox On the other hand, the exit polls carried out by GAD 3 maintained the hierarchy. According to polls, the socialist party would win the elections and was awarded between 116 and 121 seats. Behind them, the PP would obtain between 69 and 73 seats, Ciudadanos between 42 and 45 deputies, Unidas Podemos remained as the fourth political force with 42 and 45 representatives. Vox, again, would enter strongly, according to the polls, with between 36 and 38 representatives.


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